Guaratinguetá vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
50.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CAX
2 - 3
GUA
55%
24%
22%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
GUA
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 1
BRA
25%
28%
48%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
TUP
27%
28%
45%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
GUA
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LON
2 - 1
BRA
44%
29%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
TOM
0 - 1
LON
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 3
LON
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
LON
2 - 2
GUA
46%
30%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
LON
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |