Guaratinguetá vs Itapirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
25%
25%
51%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 0
GUA
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 4
PAR
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
CEA
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
ASA
2 - 1
GUA
35%
26%
38%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 1
SAO
26%
23%
51%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 1
INT
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
ITA
47%
25%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 0
ITA
52%
24%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 0
SAO
37%
24%
40%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |