Guaratinguetá vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
48.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
BOA
4 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
POR
21%
24%
56%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +2 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
MAC
3 - 1
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
TOM
24%
26%
50%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
BOT
6 - 2
GUA
73%
18%
10%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
YPI
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
MOG
1 - 0
GUA
41%
29%
31%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
BOT
45%
29%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
POR
0 - 0
GUA
41%
29%
30%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
BOA
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |