Guaratinguetá vs Grêmio Osasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
11%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
VFC
1 - 1
GUA
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
AMF
2 - 1
GUA
32%
29%
39%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
AMF
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
CAX
1 - 1
GUA
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 0
CAX
55%
26%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
GRE
0 - 1
NOR
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
VFC
2 - 0
GRE
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 0
VFC
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
GRE
3 - 0
XVD
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 2
GRE
54%
23%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |