Guaratinguetá vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
COM
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
24%
23%
52%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 2
AUD
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 1
RIO
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
RBB
1 - 1
GUA
42%
24%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
SAN
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
POR
20%
24%
56%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 1
GRÊ
29%
24%
46%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
GRÊ
0 - 0
VEL
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
GRÊ
0 - 0
COM
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |