Guaratinguetá vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
CAX
2 - 1
GUA
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
MIR
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 2
GUA
54%
23%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 3
COR
15%
20%
65%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 0
CAX
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
ECN
1 - 1
GRÊ
24%
23%
53%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
XVD
61%
20%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 2
GRÊ
17%
21%
62%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
GRÊ
2 - 1
POR
40%
25%
35%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
BOT
3 - 2
GRÊ
32%
24%
43%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |