Guaratinguetá vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
AMF
2 - 0
GUA
30%
29%
41%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
GUA
4 - 1
MIX
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | +3 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
BOA
3 - 0
GUA
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
ATM
2 - 0
GUA
82%
13%
6%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 2
ATM
16%
21%
63%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
GAM
2 - 0
MIX
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
GAM
1 - 1
BOA
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
AMF
2 - 0
GAM
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
GAM
0 - 1
LUZ
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
GAM
1 - 1
BRA
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |