Guaratinguetá vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
44.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
OES
1 - 0
GUA
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 3
ATL
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 4
SAO
39%
26%
34%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
AGU
3 - 1
GUA
45%
23%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FER
4 - 0
NOV
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
FER
3 - 1
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
2 - 1
FER
19%
23%
58%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
FER
7 - 1
MON
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
FER
1 - 0
UNI
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |