Guaratinguetá vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
47.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
ASA
2 - 1
GUA
35%
26%
38%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
FFL
2 - 1
GUA
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
CHA
33%
29%
38%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
BOA
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ABC
2 - 4
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
CEA
2 - 1
AVA
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CEA
4 - 1
SPO
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 3
CEA
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ARN
1 - 0
CEA
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CEA
1 - 1
AMF
57%
23%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |