Guaratinguetá vs Catanduvense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 0
GUA
42%
23%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAO
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 1
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
GRE
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
UNI
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
CAT
3 - 0
ITA
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MIR
1 - 0
CAT
62%
21%
16%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
CAT
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CAT
1 - 0
RIO
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
FER
3 - 0
CAT
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |