Guaratinguetá vs Catanduvense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
4 - 4
GUA
55%
23%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 1
CAT
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 2
GUA
27%
24%
49%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
5 - 0
GRE
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
VFC
1 - 1
GUA
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 0
CAT
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CAT
1 - 3
AME
57%
23%
21%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 1
CAT
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAT
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
CAT
1 - 2
UNI
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |