Guaratinguetá vs Taquaritinga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 2
GUA
27%
24%
49%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
5 - 0
GRE
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
VFC
1 - 1
GUA
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
AMF
2 - 1
GUA
32%
29%
39%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
AMF
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Taquaritinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
CAT
1 - 0
FLA
40%
24%
37%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CAT
1 - 1
RIO
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 1
CAT
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
CAT
1 - 3
SEN
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BAC
2 - 1
CAT
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |