Guaratinguetá vs Batatais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
MIR
3 - 1
GUA
57%
23%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
FER
5 - 0
GUA
34%
27%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
RBB
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
CAT
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 0
GUA
42%
23%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Batatais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BAT
1 - 1
SAN
45%
26%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 0
BAT
42%
25%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
CAT
1 - 0
BAT
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BAT
0 - 1
CAP
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
BAT
1 - 0
GRÊ
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |