Guaratinguetá vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
NOR
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 2
GUA
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
LIN
70%
17%
13%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
AUD
1 - 0
GUA
31%
24%
45%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 2
SAO
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
AME
0 - 2
GUA
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
4 - 1
AME
56%
24%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
VFC
0 - 0
AME
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
AME
0 - 3
UNI
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 2
AME
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |