Guaratinguetá vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
47.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
ASA
3 - 1
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
PAR
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
CRB
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
CRI
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
AMF
1 - 2
GRÊ
72%
18%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 0
AMF
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
AMF
2 - 5
SAO
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
AMF
0 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CRB
0 - 1
AMF
25%
26%
49%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |