Guaratinguetá vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BOA
0 - 1
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
AMF
26%
26%
47%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
ASA
3 - 1
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
PAR
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
CRI
2 - 0
ABC
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
ABC
1 - 1
ASA
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CRB
3 - 3
ABC
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
ABC
0 - 1
CEA
31%
28%
42%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 1
ABC
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |