Guaratinguetá vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
47.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
20%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
TUP
3 - 0
GUA
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
GUA
35%
29%
36%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 2
GUA
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 3
BAT
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 2
POR
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
BRA
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
LON
2 - 1
POR
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
POR
1 - 2
ITU
45%
26%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
ITU
1 - 1
POR
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |