Guarany de Sobral vs Atlético Cearense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 0
GUA
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAR
58%
24%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 2
FOR
15%
22%
64%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
QUI
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
CEA
0 - 0
UNI
85%
12%
4%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
UNI
44%
27%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ICA
1 - 2
UNI
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |