Guarany de Sobral vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
PAY
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
TRA
70%
19%
12%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 1
GUA
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
GUA
41%
24%
35%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 2
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 0
TRE
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
SAL
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
YPI
1 - 1
SAL
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |