Guarany de Sobral vs Moto Club MA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
INT
2 - 1
GUA
25%
25%
51%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 4
REM
45%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
REM
0 - 1
GUA
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
INT
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
MOT
3 - 1
GUA
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MOT
2 - 2
RIV
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 0
MOT
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
MOT
3 - 1
GUA
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
MOT
2 - 2
INT
65%
21%
15%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
REM
1 - 1
MOT
68%
19%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |