Guarany de Sobral vs Moto Club MA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
ARN
3 - 0
GUA
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1986 |
SBE
1 - 0
GUA
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
GUA
2 - 1
MAR
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1986 |
GUA
1 - 0
RIO
36%
29%
35%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
GUA
0 - 0
FER
53%
23%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1986 |
MOT
1 - 1
FER
58%
25%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
TRE
2 - 0
MOT
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
MOT
0 - 1
RIO
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1986 |
RIV
1 - 2
MOT
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
MAR
2 - 3
MOT
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |