Guarany de Sobral vs Maranhão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
GUA
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 2
POT
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 2
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 2
TIR
35%
25%
39%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 4
HOR
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Maranhão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
GUA
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 0
RIV
24%
27%
50%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +4 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
POT
0 - 0
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
JOS
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SAM
1 - 1
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | +1 |