Guarany de Sobral vs Maranguape analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 2
FOR
15%
22%
64%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
QUI
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CEA
3 - 1
GUA
80%
14%
6%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
TIR
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Maranguape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
GUA
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CEA
1 - 1
MAR
85%
11%
4%
|
38 | 67 | 29 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 3
FOR
11%
20%
70%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
ITA
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |