Guarany de Sobral vs Maranguape analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 2
GUA
77%
15%
9%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 4
FOR
25%
24%
51%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
FER
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
FER
0 - 0
GUA
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
BOV
4 - 2
GUA
35%
25%
41%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Maranguape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
FER
1 - 1
MAR
61%
21%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
FOR
3 - 2
MAR
79%
14%
8%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 2
BOV
61%
21%
19%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
CEA
23%
22%
55%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ICA
1 - 1
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |