Guarany de Sobral vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
GUA
34%
27%
40%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 0
GUA
68%
21%
12%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 2
CAM
31%
28%
42%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 1
GUA
59%
24%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 0
GAL
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
TIR
0 - 0
ITA
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 1
GPM
68%
19%
13%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 2
ITA
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 0
ITA
25%
21%
54%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
ITA
2 - 1
TIR
33%
26%
41%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |