Guarany de Sobral vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
GUA
44%
26%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CEA
4 - 0
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
MAR
66%
20%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 0
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 1
CEA
11%
19%
70%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
ITA
38%
26%
37%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 2
CEA
8%
18%
74%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 2
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 0
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
CEA
3 - 0
ITA
85%
11%
4%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |