Guarany de Sobral vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
ICA
1 - 1
GUA
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
CEA
19%
23%
58%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
TIR
1 - 0
GUA
37%
24%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 0
GUA
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
CRB
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 1
FOR
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
FER
1 - 1
ITA
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 0
GUA
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 0
ITA
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
HOR
2 - 1
ITA
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |