Guarany de Sobral vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 1
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
ICA
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
QUI
56%
23%
22%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
GUA
4 - 1
AFC
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
AFC
1 - 1
GUA
30%
26%
45%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 2
ITA
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 1
QUI
47%
23%
29%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
ICA
0 - 1
ITA
75%
16%
10%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 0
ITA
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 0
GUA
26%
23%
51%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +2 |