Guarany de Sobral vs Interporto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
MOT
3 - 1
GUA
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
RIV
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 3
CEA
17%
23%
61%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
1 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
ICA
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Interporto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
INT
1 - 2
REM
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
MOT
2 - 2
INT
65%
21%
15%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
TOC
0 - 1
INT
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
INT
1 - 0
TOC
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
GUR
1 - 1
INT
50%
24%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |