Guarany de Sobral vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
45.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
QUI
56%
23%
22%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
GUA
4 - 1
AFC
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
AFC
1 - 1
GUA
30%
26%
45%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 0
ARA
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
ARA
2 - 2
GUA
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
ICA
0 - 1
ITA
75%
16%
10%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
IFC
2 - 2
ICA
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
ICA
2 - 2
COT
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
PPE
0 - 1
ICA
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
ICA
2 - 1
BRA
41%
27%
33%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |