Guarany de Sobral vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
HOR
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 1
GUA
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 0
CRA
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ICA
1 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
ITA
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
0 - 1
HOR
41%
26%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
HOR
1 - 1
ITA
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
HOR
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
HOR
3 - 0
CRA
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
CRA
0 - 1
HOR
32%
22%
46%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |