Guarany de Sobral vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
45.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
GUA
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
FOR
12%
20%
68%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
5 - 2
GUA
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CEA
2 - 1
GUA
74%
18%
9%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 2
ITA
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
HOR
4 - 1
ITA
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
CEA
2 - 0
HOR
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
TIR
1 - 2
HOR
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
HOR
1 - 0
FOR
14%
21%
65%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 1
HOR
21%
23%
56%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |