Guarany de Sobral vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
FOR
22%
25%
54%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 2
GUA
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
SAN
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
CEA
15%
22%
63%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
HOR
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
2 - 1
CEA
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
ICA
2 - 1
HOR
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 1
HOR
67%
19%
15%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
HOR
1 - 0
QUI
66%
19%
14%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |