Guarany de Sobral vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 3
GUA
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
TIR
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
TIR
3 - 1
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 0
FER
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
GUA
55%
24%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ICA
1 - 1
HOR
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 2
FOR
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
CEA
0 - 0
HOR
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
HOR
0 - 3
CEA
21%
24%
55%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
HOR
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |