Guarany de Sobral vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
39.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 0
GUA
19%
22%
59%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TRA
4 - 1
GUA
14%
21%
65%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
CRA
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 1
GUA
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
FER
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
HOR
30%
23%
48%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
HOR
5 - 0
ICA
35%
25%
41%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 3
CEA
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
0 - 2
HOR
24%
21%
55%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 2
HOR
52%
22%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |