Guarany de Sobral vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
LIM
1 - 1
GUA
28%
25%
48%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
FOR
27%
24%
49%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 2
GUA
77%
15%
9%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 4
FOR
25%
24%
51%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
ITA
3 - 5
HOR
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
HOR
1 - 1
FER
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
HOR
0 - 1
CEA
17%
21%
63%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
HOR
1 - 1
FOR
23%
23%
54%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 2
HOR
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |