Guarany de Sobral vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 4
HOR
37%
24%
40%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 0
GUA
19%
22%
59%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TRA
4 - 1
GUA
14%
21%
65%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
CRA
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 1
GUA
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 0
GUA
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
HOR
30%
23%
48%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 2
FER
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 2
GUA
70%
18%
13%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 3
CEA
16%
22%
63%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |