Guarany de Sobral vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
FOR
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
FER
1 - 2
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
TIR
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
HOR
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
ITA
5 - 2
GUA
25%
23%
52%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 3
GUA
31%
25%
45%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 5
TIR
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 3
GUA
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
FOR
29%
24%
46%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
ICA
0 - 4
GUA
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +2 |