Cearense 1 Semi-finals
Global 0-2
Guarany de Sobral vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
73.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
16%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 1
GUA
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 1
FER
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
4 - 1
BAR
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
FLO
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
CEA
3 - 0
GUA
84%
13%
4%
|
41 | 76 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
MOT
1 - 1
FOR
14%
21%
65%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
FLO
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CEA
1 - 1
FOR
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 0
CEA
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
4 - 0
CON
70%
19%
12%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |