Guarany de Sobral vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
75.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
16.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
HOR
1 - 2
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 0
UNI
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 0
IGU
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 0
GUA
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
FLO
0 - 0
GUA
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 1
BAR
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 0
FOR
27%
24%
49%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 0
CSA
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
NAU
1 - 3
FOR
28%
25%
48%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
COT
1 - 0
FOR
41%
29%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |