Guarany de Sobral vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
53.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 2
GUA
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
SAN
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
CEA
15%
22%
63%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAU
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 1
ICA
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
4 - 0
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 1
HOR
67%
19%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
ICA
0 - 0
FOR
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
7 - 0
ITA
78%
14%
8%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |