Guarany de Sobral vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
FER
1 - 2
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
TIR
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
HOR
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
ITA
5 - 2
GUA
25%
23%
52%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
CRA
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 3
HOR
64%
19%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
FOR
29%
24%
46%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CEA
0 - 1
FOR
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
4 - 0
LIM
80%
13%
7%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
FER
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |