Guarany de Sobral vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 0
ARN
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
CRB
2 - 0
GUA
29%
26%
44%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
CAM
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 0
GUA
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 1
FOR
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 3
ARN
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
CRB
1 - 0
FOR
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ICA
3 - 2
FOR
47%
24%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |