Cearense 1 Final
Global 3-6
Guarany de Sobral vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
51%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
FER
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
FER
0 - 0
GUA
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
BOV
4 - 2
GUA
35%
25%
41%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
CEA
4 - 3
GUA
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
FER
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 1
PAR
49%
23%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
FOR
3 - 2
BOV
78%
14%
8%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
BOV
0 - 3
FOR
24%
23%
53%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
HOR
1 - 1
FOR
23%
23%
54%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
FOR
3 - 2
MAR
79%
14%
8%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |