Guarany de Sobral vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
49.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
HOR
0 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
GUA
83%
13%
4%
|
41 | 68 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
FOR
8%
18%
74%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 1
GUA
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 1
FER
31%
26%
43%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
UNI
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
FER
2 - 2
CON
40%
26%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
IMP
0 - 0
FER
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
TRE
2 - 0
FER
24%
26%
51%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
FER
1 - 2
ABC
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |