Guarany de Sobral vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
HOR
1 - 3
GUA
45%
24%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
TIR
0 - 1
GUA
41%
24%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
4 - 0
ITA
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 1
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
ICA
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
ITA
3 - 2
FER
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
FER
1 - 4
TIR
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 2
FER
34%
24%
42%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
FER
1 - 2
FOR
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 1
FER
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |