Guarany de Sobral vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
GUA
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
BOV
2 - 2
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
HOR
4 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIM
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
FOR
3 - 4
GUA
70%
17%
13%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
CRA
2 - 1
LIM
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CRA
2 - 0
HOR
31%
24%
46%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 0
CRA
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
FOR
3 - 1
CRA
79%
13%
7%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
CRA
3 - 1
GUA
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |