Guarany de Sobral vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
70.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
GUA
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 0
GUA
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAR
58%
24%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
COT
4 - 0
TCW
78%
16%
5%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TCW
0 - 2
COT
11%
20%
70%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
COT
3 - 1
GRE
74%
18%
8%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ATP
0 - 2
COT
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
JMA
1 - 0
COT
15%
23%
62%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |