Guarany de Sobral vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
65.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
CEA
5 - 2
GUA
84%
12%
5%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 1
SAO
67%
20%
14%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 1
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
HOR
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
HOR
3 - 4
GUA
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CEA
2 - 0
QUI
77%
16%
8%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
CEA
1 - 0
GUA
86%
11%
3%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
TIR
0 - 1
CEA
15%
21%
64%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
CEA
3 - 3
FLA
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 0
MAC
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |