Guarany de Sobral vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
69.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
GUA
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
RIV
7 - 1
GUA
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
MOT
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
INT
2 - 1
GUA
25%
25%
51%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 4
REM
45%
25%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
CEA
3 - 0
ITA
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LUV
1 - 0
CEA
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 1
POR
66%
21%
14%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 0
CEA
32%
27%
42%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 0
VAS
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +2 |